Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in any case?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if it is exactly what your problem is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the particular 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.

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